Saturday, 23 April 2011

Why we divide portfolio construction into three

We divide portfolio construction into three themes. This way it is easier to notice patterns by classifying the information we are bombarded with. (This is the success of science. Seek data and classify, keep checking if predictions from the data are correct, if not, rule out the theory)

We therefore focus research in discovering sustainable trends and patterns that are repeated throughout history, in different markets in similar conditions in different times or not.

This may be for the macro economy of different countries, or different sectors in different countries or in the same country or different companies in the same/different sector or country.

For example, we would like to classify market structures into a handful of options, and understand what drivers have lead them to that market structure and what we would need to see to believe a change can occur in that structure and explore who would gain the most.

Learn from data in the past and in real time. Focusing on particular business areas.

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